The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| American (6‑4) vs Navy (3‑7) |
23 | American Wins | 23% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Navy Wins | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Boston U. (5‑5) vs Lafayette (5‑5) |
1 | Boston U. Wins | 22% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Colgate (2‑9) vs Army (5‑4) |
1 | Colgate Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Army Wins | 21% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Holy Cross (5‑5) vs Loyola-MD (4‑4) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | 22% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Lehigh (3‑6) vs Bucknell (4‑7) |
0 | Lehigh Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||