The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| American (15‑8) vs Boston U. (11‑14) |
18 | American Wins | 1% | 30% | 43% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 24% | 41% | 24% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | <1% | 14% | 40% | 30% | 12% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colgate (17‑8) vs Lehigh (14‑9) |
6 | Colgate Wins | <1% | 30% | 38% | 22% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 24% | 41% | 24% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 1% | 15% | 48% | 26% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola-MD (8‑17) vs Army (13‑12) |
6 | Loyola-MD Wins | <1% | 27% | 47% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 24% | 41% | 24% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Army Wins | <1% | 24% | 39% | 26% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bucknell (10‑15) vs Navy (13‑11) |
2 | Bucknell Wins | <1% | 25% | 43% | 24% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 24% | 41% | 24% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Navy Wins | <1% | 25% | 41% | 23% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||