The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
American Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| American (4‑5) vs Lehigh (1‑7) |
26 | American Wins | 11% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 7% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Boston U. (3‑5) vs Navy (1‑4) |
1 | Boston U. Wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Navy Wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Loyola-MD (1‑7) vs Colgate (4‑4) |
0 | Loyola-MD Wins | 12% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Colgate Wins | 10% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Army (1‑7) vs Lafayette (1‑8) |
0 | Army Wins | 10% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 11% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Bucknell (3‑7) vs Holy Cross (2‑7) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||