PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Dec 3 4:00 am

Patriot League Basketball - Week 4 of 17

American Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the American Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. American Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

American Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
American Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
American
(4‑5)

vs
Lehigh
(1‑7)
26 American Wins 11% 15% 15% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4%
Current Probabilities 10% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5%
Lehigh Wins 7% 12% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 7%
Boston U.
(3‑5)

vs
Navy
(1‑4)
1 Boston U. Wins 11% 14% 13% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 5%
Current Probabilities 10% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5%
Navy Wins 11% 14% 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 6%
Loyola-MD
(1‑7)

vs
Colgate
(4‑4)
0 Loyola-MD Wins 12% 14% 13% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 6%
Current Probabilities 10% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5%
Colgate Wins 10% 14% 14% 11% 11% 10% 9% 9% 7% 5%
Army
(1‑7)

vs
Lafayette
(1‑8)
0 Army Wins 10% 14% 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5%
Current Probabilities 10% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5%
Lafayette Wins 11% 14% 14% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 5%
Bucknell
(3‑7)

vs
Holy Cross
(2‑7)
0 Bucknell Wins 10% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6%
Current Probabilities 10% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5%
Holy Cross Wins 11% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament