The Most Important Games for the Army Black Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Army Black Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Army (1‑7) vs Lafayette (1‑8) |
25 | Army Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 20% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 23% | ||
| Boston U. (3‑5) vs Navy (1‑4) |
2 | Boston U. Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 20% | ||
| Navy Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 20% | ||
| Colgate (4‑4) vs Loyola-MD (1‑7) |
2 | Colgate Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 20% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 21% | ||
| Lehigh (1‑7) vs American (4‑5) |
0 | Lehigh Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 20% | ||
| American Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | ||
| Bucknell (3‑7) vs Holy Cross (2‑7) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 20% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 20% | ||