The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colgate Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Colgate (16‑11) vs Boston U. (12‑15) |
7 | Colgate Wins | 1% | 97% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston U. Wins | <1% | 83% | 14% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy (21‑6) vs Lehigh (12‑15) |
3 | Navy Wins | <1% | 93% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 1% | 84% | 12% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bucknell (8‑19) vs American (14‑13) |
2 | Bucknell Wins | 1% | 93% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| American Wins | 1% | 90% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Army (10‑17) vs Loyola-MD (11‑16) |
0 | Army Wins | <1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (9‑18) vs Lafayette (8‑19) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | 1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 1% | 91% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||