The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colgate Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Colgate (6‑7) vs Lafayette (3‑10) |
23 | Colgate Wins | 24% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| American (7‑6) vs Loyola-MD (4‑9) |
2 | American Wins | 22% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Army (6‑7) vs Lehigh (4‑8) |
1 | Army Wins | 22% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 22% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Bucknell (3‑10) vs Holy Cross (5‑8) |
1 | Bucknell Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 22% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Navy (8‑5) vs Boston U. (5‑8) |
0 | Navy Wins | 22% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||