The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colgate Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Colgate (16‑7) vs Loyola-MD (7‑15) |
3 | Colgate Wins | 91% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 83% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Army (12‑11) vs Lehigh (13‑8) |
1 | Army Wins | 94% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 88% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bucknell (8‑15) vs American (14‑7) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| American Wins | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lafayette (7‑16) vs Navy (11‑11) |
0 | Lafayette Wins | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy Wins | 89% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (7‑16) vs Boston U. (10‑13) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||