The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colgate Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Colgate (9‑8) vs Loyola-MD (5‑12) |
23 | Colgate Wins | 30% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 21% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lafayette (4‑13) vs Bucknell (5‑12) |
2 | Lafayette Wins | 29% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 28% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Boston U. (7‑10) vs Lehigh (6‑10) |
2 | Boston U. Wins | 29% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 28% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Army (7‑10) vs Holy Cross (7‑10) |
1 | Army Wins | 29% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 28% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||