The Most Important Games for the Colgate Raiders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Raiders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colgate Raiders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colgate Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Colgate (5‑4) vs Loyola-MD (1‑8) |
18 | Colgate Wins | 44% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Loyola-MD Wins | 35% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Holy Cross (2‑8) vs Bucknell (3‑7) |
1 | Holy Cross Wins | 44% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | 42% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Army (2‑8) vs Lafayette (1‑9) |
0 | Army Wins | 43% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 43% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lehigh (1‑7) vs American (4‑6) |
0 | Lehigh Wins | 44% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| American Wins | 43% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Boston U. (3‑6) vs Navy (2‑6) |
0 | Boston U. Wins | 43% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 42% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Navy Wins | 44% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||