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Wed Feb 1 10:30 pm

Patriot League Basketball - Week 13 of 16

Lafayette Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Lafayette Leopards are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leopards final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lafayette Leopards fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Lafayette Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Lafayette Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10
Lafayette
(7‑17)

vs
Lehigh
(13‑9)
41 Lafayette Wins <1% 1% 5% 11% 26% 27% 17% 10% 3% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 27% 21% 14% 6% 2%
Lehigh Wins <1% <1% 1% 4% 17% 27% 24% 17% 8% 2%
Colgate
(17‑7)

vs
American
(14‑8)
5 Colgate Wins <1% 1% 3% 8% 19% 26% 20% 14% 6% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 27% 21% 14% 6% 2%
American Wins <1% <1% 2% 6% 20% 28% 21% 15% 6% 2%
Loyola-MD
(8‑16)

vs
Boston U.
(10‑14)
5 Loyola-MD Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 29% 19% 12% 7% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 27% 21% 14% 6% 2%
Boston U. Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 19% 26% 21% 16% 6% 1%
Navy
(12‑11)

vs
Holy Cross
(8‑16)
3 Navy Wins <1% <1% 2% 7% 19% 29% 21% 14% 6% 2%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 27% 21% 14% 6% 2%
Holy Cross Wins <1% 1% 3% 8% 21% 22% 20% 17% 7% 2%
Bucknell
(9‑15)

vs
Army
(13‑11)
2 Bucknell Wins <1% 1% 3% 7% 19% 26% 20% 14% 7% 3%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 3% 7% 20% 27% 21% 14% 6% 2%
Army Wins <1% <1% 2% 6% 20% 28% 22% 15% 6% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament