The Most Important Games for the Lafayette Leopards are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leopards final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lafayette Leopards fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lafayette Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Lafayette (7‑17) vs Lehigh (13‑9) |
41 | Lafayette Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 26% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | 27% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Colgate (17‑7) vs American (14‑8) |
5 | Colgate Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% | ||
| American Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 28% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Loyola-MD (8‑16) vs Boston U. (10‑14) |
5 | Loyola-MD Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 21% | 16% | 6% | 1% | ||
| Navy (12‑11) vs Holy Cross (8‑16) |
3 | Navy Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 19% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Bucknell (9‑15) vs Army (13‑11) |
2 | Bucknell Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 19% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Army Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 6% | 1% | ||