The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Navy (3‑7) vs American (6‑4) |
17 | Navy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% | ||
| American Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 40% | ||
| Loyola-MD (5‑4) vs Holy Cross (5‑5) |
0 | Loyola-MD Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% | ||
| Lehigh (3‑6) vs Bucknell (4‑7) |
0 | Lehigh Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% | ||
| Bucknell Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 37% | ||
| Boston U. (5‑6) vs Lafayette (5‑5) |
0 | Boston U. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% | ||
| Lafayette Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% | ||
| Army (5‑5) vs Colgate (2‑9) |
0 | Army Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 38% | ||
| Colgate Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 39% | ||