The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Navy (6‑5) vs Boston U. (4‑8) |
24 | Navy Wins | 24% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Boston U. Wins | 17% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Lafayette (3‑8) vs Colgate (6‑5) |
2 | Lafayette Wins | 25% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Colgate Wins | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Loyola-MD (4‑8) vs American (7‑4) |
1 | Loyola-MD Wins | 24% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| American Wins | 22% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Army (5‑7) vs Lehigh (3‑7) |
1 | Army Wins | 23% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 23% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Bucknell (3‑9) vs Holy Cross (5‑7) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 23% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | 23% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||