The Most Important Games for the Navy Midshipmen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Midshipmen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Navy Midshipmen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Navy Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Navy (21‑6) vs Lehigh (12‑15) |
0 | Navy Wins | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lehigh Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boston U. (12‑15) vs Colgate (16‑11) |
0 | Boston U. Wins | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colgate Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (9‑18) vs Lafayette (8‑19) |
0 | Holy Cross Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lafayette Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bucknell (8‑19) vs American (14‑13) |
0 | Bucknell Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| American Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Loyola-MD (11‑16) vs Army (10‑17) |
0 | Loyola-MD Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Army Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||