The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (8‑1) vs Oklahoma (7‑2) |
42 | Alabama Wins | 58% | 35% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | 10% | 41% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida (3‑6) vs Ole Miss (9‑1) |
10 | Florida Wins | 43% | 44% | 8% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 43% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Carolina (3‑6) vs Texas A&M (9‑0) |
8 | South Carolina Wins | 71% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 41% | 37% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas (7‑2) vs Georgia (8‑1) |
6 | Texas Wins | 43% | 40% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Wins | 43% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU (5‑4) vs Arkansas (2‑7) |
0 | LSU Wins | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas Wins | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri (6‑3) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (5‑5) |
0 | Missouri Wins | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 43% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||