The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (9‑2) vs Auburn (5‑6) |
52 | Alabama Wins | 10% | 42% | 35% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn Wins | X | X | 7% | 30% | 50% | 11% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (5‑6) vs Ole Miss (10‑1) |
41 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 9% | 62% | 12% | 6% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 7% | 23% | 33% | 19% | 14% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas (8‑3) vs Texas A&M (11‑0) |
7 | Texas Wins | 20% | 23% | 24% | 18% | 6% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | X | 37% | 30% | 17% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU (7‑4) vs Oklahoma (9‑2) |
1 | LSU Wins | 7% | 33% | 28% | 28% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | 7% | 32% | 28% | 13% | 16% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee (8‑3) vs Vanderbilt (9‑2) |
0 | Tennessee Wins | 7% | 32% | 29% | 17% | 12% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (2‑9) vs Missouri (7‑4) |
0 | Arkansas Wins | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri Wins | 7% | 32% | 28% | 17% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||