PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Sep 23 11:15 pm

SEC Football - Week 5 of 13

Alabama Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Alabama Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Alabama Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Division Winner No Playoffs
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Alabama
(3‑1)

vs
Mississippi St.Miss. St.
(2‑2)
12 Alabama Wins 31% 23% 18% 15% 9% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities 27% 21% 17% 14% 11% 7% 3%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins 19% 18% 18% 16% 14% 10% 5%
Arkansas
(2‑2)

vs
Texas A&M
(3‑1)
3 Arkansas Wins 30% 19% 16% 13% 11% 8% 4%
Current Probabilities 27% 21% 17% 14% 11% 7% 3%
Texas A&M Wins 27% 21% 17% 13% 11% 7% 3%
Georgia
(4‑0)

vs
Auburn
(3‑1)
2 Georgia Wins 28% 21% 17% 13% 11% 7% 3%
Current Probabilities 27% 21% 17% 14% 11% 7% 3%
Auburn Wins 27% 20% 17% 14% 11% 8% 3%
Ole Miss
(3‑1)

vs
LSU
(3‑1)
1 Ole Miss Wins 27% 20% 17% 14% 11% 8% 4%
Current Probabilities 27% 21% 17% 14% 11% 7% 3%
LSU Wins 27% 21% 16% 14% 11% 7% 3%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot