The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| South Carolina (3‑5) vs Ole Miss (7‑1) |
10 | South Carolina Wins | 41% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 39% | 30% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida (3‑4) vs Georgia (6‑1) |
5 | Florida Wins | 39% | 34% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Wins | 38% | 30% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas (6‑2) vs Vanderbilt (7‑1) |
3 | Texas Wins | 39% | 33% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee (6‑2) vs Oklahoma (6‑2) |
0 | Tennessee Wins | 39% | 31% | 15% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | 39% | 31% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (2‑6) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (4‑4) |
0 | Arkansas Wins | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn (4‑4) vs Kentucky (2‑5) |
0 | Auburn Wins | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kentucky Wins | 39% | 31% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||