The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Auburn (2‑2) vs Arkansas (2‑1) |
1 | Auburn Wins | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Arkansas Wins | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Vanderbilt (2‑1) vs Missouri (3‑0) |
1 | Vanderbilt Wins | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Missouri Wins | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Tennessee (3‑0) vs Oklahoma (3‑0) |
1 | Tennessee Wins | 17% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Florida (1‑2) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (1‑2) |
1 | Florida Wins | 17% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 16% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||