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Sat Sep 26 7:30 pm

SEC Football - Week 4 of 13

Florida Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Florida Gators are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Gators final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Florida Gators fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Florida Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Florida Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Missouri
(3‑0)

vs
Mississippi St.Miss. St.
(3‑0)
4 Missouri Wins 20% 15% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins 17% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
South Carolina
(2‑1)

vs
Alabama
(3‑0)
3 South Carolina Wins 20% 14% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Alabama Wins 17% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Auburn
(2‑1)

vs
Vanderbilt
(3‑0)
1 Auburn Wins 18% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Vanderbilt Wins 18% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Texas A&M
(2‑1)

vs
LSU
(2‑1)
1 Texas A&M Wins 18% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 18% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
LSU Wins 17% 14% 12% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant