The Most Important Games for the Northwestern St. Demons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Demons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Northwestern St. Demons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Northwestern St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (14‑8) vs Houston Christian (7‑15) |
41 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 43% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 26% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Orleans (6‑14) vs Texas A&M C.C. (13‑9) |
10 | New Orleans Wins | 43% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 37% | 27% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Incarnate Word (10‑12) vs SE Louisiana (12‑9) |
7 | Incarnate Word Wins | 44% | 24% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 38% | 27% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm (10‑13) vs Nicholls St. (10‑11) |
4 | Texas A&M-CommerceTX A&M-Comm Wins | 41% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 39% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Lamar (6‑16) vs McNeese (5‑17) |
1 | Lamar Wins | 39% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| McNeese Wins | 39% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||