The Most Important Games for the North Dakota St. Bison are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bison final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota St. Bison fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota St. (9‑4) vs St. Thomas (8‑4) |
4 | North Dakota St. Wins | 29% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 17% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| South Dakota St. (8‑5) vs Denver (6‑6) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Denver Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| South Dakota (9‑4) vs UMKC (6‑7) |
0 | South Dakota Wins | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha (4‑8) vs North Dakota (4‑6) |
0 | Nebraska Omaha Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | ||
| North Dakota Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | ||