The Most Important Games for the North Dakota St. Bison are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bison final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota St. Bison fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota St. (10‑5) vs South Dakota (7‑7) |
4 | North Dakota St. Wins | 29% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| South Dakota Wins | 18% | 18% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Denver (7‑8) vs UMKC (2‑11) |
1 | Denver Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 26% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| South Dakota St. (7‑7) vs Nebraska Omaha (7‑7) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 26% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 26% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| North Dakota (5‑10) vs Oral Roberts (5‑10) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 26% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Oral Roberts Wins | 25% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||