The Most Important Games for the North Dakota St. Bison are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bison final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota St. Bison fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Dakota St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| North Dakota St. (12‑5) vs UMKC (4‑12) |
2 | North Dakota St. Wins | 39% | 25% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UMKC Wins | 29% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| South Dakota St. (8‑9) vs Denver (8‑9) |
0 | South Dakota St. Wins | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Denver Wins | 37% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| North Dakota (8‑10) vs Nebraska Omaha (7‑10) |
0 | North Dakota Wins | 36% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Omaha Wins | 37% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| South Dakota (8‑8) vs St. Thomas (11‑5) |
0 | South Dakota Wins | 40% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 36% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||