The Most Important Games for the South Alabama Jaguars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. South Alabama Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
South Alabama Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Division Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Old Dominion (5‑3) vs LA Monroe (3‑5) |
0 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 18% | 24% | 27% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 28% | ||
| LA Monroe Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 30% | 29% | ||
| South Alabama (2‑6) vs UL Lafayette (2‑6) |
0 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 32% | 29% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 28% | ||
| UL Lafayette Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 15% | 30% | 49% | ||
| Troy (6‑2) vs Arkansas St. (4‑4) |
0 | Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 24% | 28% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 28% | ||
| Arkansas St. Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 17% | 25% | 27% | 28% | ||
| Texas St. (3‑4) vs James Madison (6‑1) |
0 | Texas St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 21% | 29% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 28% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 24% | 28% | 27% | ||