The Most Important Games for the UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Vaqueros final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UT-Rio Grande Valley Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (10‑11) vs California Baptist (13‑8) |
16 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 22% | 22% | 19% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 34% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 39% | ||
| Utah Valley (15‑6) vs New Mexico St. (7‑12) |
3 | Utah Valley Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 34% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 36% | ||
| Utah Tech (10‑11) vs Abilene Christian (9‑11) |
2 | Utah Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 34% | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 36% | ||
| Grand Canyon (14‑7) vs Tarleton (10‑10) |
1 | Grand Canyon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 34% | ||
| Tarleton Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 35% | ||
| Seattle (15‑4) vs Stephen F. Austin (14‑7) |
1 | Seattle Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 34% | ||
| Stephen F. Austin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 34% | ||