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Wed Nov 5 3:00 am

NHL - Week 5 of 28

Penguins What If?

The Penguins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Penguins play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Penguins What If?

Next Game - Capitals (6‑5‑1)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 9 4 2 20 14% 15% 14% - - - 7% 7% 43%
Current Standings 8 4 2 18 14% 14% 14% - - - 7% 7% 44%
Lose Next Game 8 5 2 18 12% 14% 14% - - - 7% 7% 46%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
68 of 68 100% 76 4 2 154 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 68 12 2 138 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 68 81% 63 17 2 128 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 68 79% 62 18 2 126 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 68 78% 61 19 2 124 88% 12% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 68 76% 60 20 2 122 82% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 68 75% 59 21 2 120 75% 23% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 68 74% 58 22 2 118 68% 29% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 68 72% 57 23 2 116 60% 35% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 68 71% 56 24 2 114 51% 39% 9% - - - 1% <1% <1%
47 of 68 69% 55 25 2 112 42% 44% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
46 of 68 68% 54 26 2 110 33% 45% 19% - - - 3% <1% <1%
45 of 68 66% 53 27 2 108 26% 44% 24% - - - 5% <1% <1%
44 of 68 65% 52 28 2 106 20% 42% 29% - - - 8% 1% <1%
43 of 68 63% 51 29 2 104 15% 39% 33% - - - 12% 2% <1%
42 of 68 62% 50 30 2 102 11% 34% 36% - - - 16% 4% <1%
41 of 68 60% 49 31 2 100 7% 29% 37% - - - 20% 6% 1%
40 of 68 59% 48 32 2 98 5% 24% 36% - - - 24% 10% 2%
39 of 68 57% 47 33 2 96 3% 17% 34% - - - 27% 15% 4%
38 of 68 56% 46 34 2 94 2% 14% 32% - - - 26% 19% 7%
37 of 68 54% 45 35 2 92 1% 11% 28% - - - 23% 24% 12%
36 of 68 53% 44 36 2 90 1% 7% 24% - - - 20% 26% 21%
35 of 68 51% 43 37 2 88 1% 5% 19% - - - 16% 27% 32%
34 of 68 50% 42 38 2 86 <1% 3% 16% - - - 11% 26% 44%
33 of 68 49% 41 39 2 84 <1% 2% 12% - - - 7% 21% 58%
32 of 68 47% 40 40 2 82 <1% 1% 8% - - - 5% 16% 70%
31 of 68 46% 39 41 2 80 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 11% 81%
30 of 68 44% 38 42 2 78 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 7% 88%
29 of 68 43% 37 43 2 76 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 4% 93%
20 of 68 29% 28 52 2 58 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 68 15% 18 62 2 38 X <1% <1% - - - X <1% >99%
0 of 68 0% 8 72 2 18 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs