Where are the North Carolina Tar Heels going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The North Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the Tar Heels winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
Li Schedule Content Number of Loses ----- Hover/Touch Content Remaining Games Venue |
GPi Schedule Content Games Played 18 game season ----- Hover/Touch Content Two-Team Tiebreaker Status |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| SMU | 0i SMU Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 18 vs AR Pine Bluff 106-60 Won Fri, Nov 21 vs Arkansas St. 100-69 Won Mon, Nov 24 vs Radford 89-72 Won Fri, Nov 28 @ Mississippi St. 87-81 Wed, Dec 03 @ Vanderbilt Sun, Dec 07 @ Texas A&M Sat, Dec 13 @ LSU Sun, Dec 21 vs C Arkansas |
0i
SMU Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 1 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0i
SMU Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Duke | 0 Duke Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 18 vs Kansas 78-66 Won Fri, Nov 21 vs Niagara 100-42 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Howard 93-56 Won Thu, Nov 27 @ Arkansas 80-71 Tue, Dec 02 vs Florida Sat, Dec 06 @ Michigan St. Tue, Dec 16 vs Lipscomb Sat, Dec 20 @ Texas Tech |
0
Duke Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 2 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Duke Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Louisville | 0 Louisville Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 15 vs Ohio 106-81 Won Fri, Nov 21 @ Cincinnati 74-64 Won Mon, Nov 24 vs Eastern Michigan 87-46 Won Wed, Nov 26 vs NJIT 104-47 Wed, Dec 03 @ Arkansas Sat, Dec 06 @ Indiana Sat, Dec 13 vs Memphis Tue, Dec 16 @ Tennessee |
0
Louisville Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 3 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Louisville Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| North Carolina | 0 North Carolina Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 14 vs N.C. Central 97-53 Won Tue, Nov 18 vs Navy 73-61 Won Tue, Nov 25 vs St. Bonavnt 85-70 Lost Thu, Nov 27 vs Michigan St. 58-74 Tue, Dec 02 @ Kentucky Sun, Dec 07 vs Georgetwn Sat, Dec 13 vs SC Upstate Tue, Dec 16 vs E. Tennessee St. |
0
North Carolina Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 4 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
North Carolina Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Clemson | 0 Clemson Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 17 vs N Alabama 81-61 Won Fri, Nov 21 vs West Virginia 70-67 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Georgia 97-94 Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Alabama A&M 92-56 Wed, Dec 03 @ Alabama Tue, Dec 09 @ BYU Sat, Dec 13 vs Mercer Tue, Dec 16 vs South Carolina |
0
Clemson Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 5 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Clemson Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 8% |
| Stanford | 0 Stanford Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 18 vs LA Lafayette 93-66 Lost Fri, Nov 21 vs Seattle 69-77 Won Thu, Nov 27 @ Minnesota 72-68 Won Fri, Nov 28 @ St. Louis 78-77 Mon, Dec 01 vs Portland Sun, Dec 07 vs UNLV Sat, Dec 13 @ San José State Wed, Dec 17 vs UT Arlington |
0
Stanford Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 6 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Stanford Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 9% |
| California | 0 California Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 13 @ Kansas St. 96-99 Won Tue, Nov 18 vs Presbyter. 67-57 Won Fri, Nov 21 vs Sacram. St. 91-67 Won Tue, Nov 25 vs UCLA 80-72 Tue, Dec 02 vs Utah Sat, Dec 06 vs Pacific Tue, Dec 09 vs Dominican (CA) Sat, Dec 13 vs NWestrn St |
0
California Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 7 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
California Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% |
| Virginia | 0 Virginia Recent Games Won Sat, Nov 15 vs Marshall 104-78 Won Fri, Nov 21 vs N. Western 83-78 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Butler 73-80 Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Queens U. 94-69 Wed, Dec 03 @ Texas Sat, Dec 06 vs Dayton Tue, Dec 09 vs MD Eastern Shore Sat, Dec 20 vs Maryland |
0
Virginia Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 8 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Virginia Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 11% |
| Wake Forest | 0 Wake Forest Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 20 @ Texas Tech 83-84 Won Fri, Nov 21 @ Memphis 69-68 Won Tue, Nov 25 vs Campbell 99-51 Won Fri, Nov 28 vs N. Eastern 86-73 Tue, Dec 02 vs Oklahoma Sat, Dec 06 @ West Virginia Sun, Dec 14 vs Queens U. Wed, Dec 17 vs Longwood |
0
Wake Forest Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 9 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Wake Forest Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% |
| Virginia Tech | 0 Virginia Tech Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 19 vs Bryant 78-61 Won Wed, Nov 26 @ Colorado St. 66-64 Lost Thu, Nov 27 vs St. Mary's 66-77 Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ VCU 68-86 Tue, Dec 02 @ South Carolina Sat, Dec 06 vs George Mason Thu, Dec 11 vs Western Carolina Sun, Dec 14 vs MD Eastern Shore |
0
Virginia Tech Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 10 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Virginia Tech Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 14% |
| Miami | 0 Miami Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 20 vs Elon 99-72 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Delaware St. 97-41 Lost Thu, Nov 27 vs BYU 62-72 Won Fri, Nov 28 @ Georgetwn 78-65 Tue, Dec 02 @ Ole Miss Sat, Dec 06 vs Southern Miss Sat, Dec 13 vs UL Monroe Tue, Dec 16 vs FIU |
0
Miami Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 11 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Miami Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| N.C. State | 0 N.C. State Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 17 vs VCU 85-79 Lost Mon, Nov 24 vs Seton Hall 74-85 Won Tue, Nov 25 @ Boise St. 81-70 Lost Wed, Nov 26 @ Texas 97-102 Wed, Dec 03 @ Auburn Sat, Dec 06 vs NC Ashvlle Wed, Dec 10 vs Liberty Sat, Dec 13 vs Kansas |
0
N.C. State Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 12 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
N.C. State Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 18% |
| Notre Dame | 0 Notre Dame Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 19 vs Bellarmine 86-79 Lost Mon, Nov 24 @ Kansas 61-71 Won Tue, Nov 25 vs Rutgers 68-63 Lost Wed, Nov 26 @ Houston 56-66 Tue, Dec 02 vs Missouri Fri, Dec 05 @ TCU Wed, Dec 10 vs Idaho Sat, Dec 13 vs Evansville |
0
Notre Dame Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 13 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Notre Dame Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 22% |
| Pittsburgh | 0 Pittsburgh Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 17 vs Bucknell 84-50 Lost Thu, Nov 20 @ UCF 67-77 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Quinnip. 75-83 Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Ohio St. 67-66 Tue, Dec 02 vs Texas A&M Sun, Dec 07 vs Hofstra Sat, Dec 13 @ Villanova Wed, Dec 17 vs Bingham. |
0
Pittsburgh Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 14 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Pittsburgh Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 24% |
| Florida St. | 0 Florida St. Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 18 vs Tenn-Martin 87-73 Won Fri, Nov 21 vs Georgia Southern 98-72 Won Tue, Nov 25 vs CSU Bakersfield 89-59 Lost Fri, Nov 28 vs Texas A&M 59-95 Tue, Dec 02 vs Georgia Sat, Dec 06 @ Houston Sat, Dec 13 vs UMass Tue, Dec 16 @ Dayton |
0
Florida St. Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 15 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Florida St. Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 26% |
| Georgia Tech | 0 Georgia Tech Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 18 vs Georgia Southern 68-66 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs W. Georgia 82-66 Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ DePaul 61-75 Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Drake 74-84 Wed, Dec 03 vs Mississippi St. Sat, Dec 06 vs Monmouth Tue, Dec 16 vs Marist Sat, Dec 20 vs Lafayette |
0
Georgia Tech Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 16 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Georgia Tech Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 34% |
| Syracuse | 0 Syracuse Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 18 vs Monmouth 78-73 Lost Mon, Nov 24 @ Houston 74-78 Lost Tue, Nov 25 @ Kansas 60-71 Lost Wed, Nov 26 @ Iowa St. 64-95 Tue, Dec 02 vs Tennessee Thu, Dec 11 vs St. Joseph's Sat, Dec 13 vs Hofstra Wed, Dec 17 vs Mercyhurst |
0
Syracuse Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 17 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Syracuse Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 36% |
| Boston College | 0 Boston College Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 18 vs Hampton 63-52 Lost Fri, Nov 21 vs Davidson 49-59 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Tulane 90-93 Won Wed, Nov 26 vs Harvard 73-60 Wed, Dec 03 vs LSU Sat, Dec 06 vs New Haven Wed, Dec 10 vs UMass Mon, Dec 22 vs Fair. Dickinson |
0
Boston College Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 18 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Boston College Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 46% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 63% | ||
| (16)Georgia Tech | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (17)Syracuse | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (15)Florida St. | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (13)Notre Dame | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (12)N.C. State | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (9)Wake Forest | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (14)Pittsburgh | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (18)Boston College | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (10)Virginia Tech | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (11)Miami | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (6)Stanford | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (8)Virginia | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (7)California | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (5)Clemson | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (3)Louisville | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (1)SMU | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (2)Duke | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| Elimination | 6% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Florida St. (5‑2) |
Home | Tue Dec 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | SMU (8‑0) |
Away | Sat Jan 3, 2:15 pm | |
| 10 | Wake Forest (6‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 10, 6:00 pm | |
| 11 | Stanford (6‑1) |
Away | Wed Jan 14, 9:00 pm | |
| 11 | California (6‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 4:00 pm | |
| 12 | Notre Dame (5‑3) |
Home | Wed Jan 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Virginia (6‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, TBD | |
| 13 | Georgia Tech (5‑3) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 2:00 pm | |
| 14 | Syracuse (4‑3) |
Home | Mon Feb 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Duke (8‑0) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 6:30 pm | |
| 15 | Miami (6‑2) |
Away | Tue Feb 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Pittsburgh (5‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | N.C. State (5‑2) |
Away | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Syracuse (4‑3) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Louisville (7‑0) |
Home | Mon Feb 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Virginia Tech (6‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, TBD | |
| 18 | Clemson (7‑1) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Duke (8‑0) |
Away | Sat Mar 7, 6:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Arkansas (3‑5) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 94‑54 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Kansas (6‑2) |
Big 12Big 12 | 87‑74 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Radford (3‑6) |
Big SouthBig South | 89‑74 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | N.C. Central (3‑6) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 97‑53 | Home | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Navy (4‑5) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 73‑61 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (6‑1) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 85‑70 | Home | Tue Nov 25, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | Michigan St. (7‑0) |
Big 10Big 10 | 58‑74 | Home | Thu Nov 27, 4:30 pm |
| 5 | Kentucky (5‑2) |
SECSEC | Away | Tue Dec 2, 9:30 pm | |
| 5 | Georgetown (5‑2) |
Big EastBig East | Home | Sun Dec 7, 5:00 pm | |
| 6 | S. Carolina Upstate (4‑5) |
Big SouthBig South | Home | Sat Dec 13, 2:00 pm | |
| 7 | E. Tennessee St. (6‑1) |
SouthernSouthern | Home | Tue Dec 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 7 | Ohio St. (6‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 3:00 pm | |
| 8 | E. Carolina (2‑5) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | Home | Mon Dec 22, 8:00 pm |