The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Michigan (6‑0) vs Rutgers (5‑4) |
71 | Michigan Wins | 16% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Oregon (4‑4) vs UCLA (6‑2) |
6 | Oregon Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Washington (5‑3) vs USC (8‑0) |
5 | Washington Wins | 16% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Indiana (7‑1) vs Penn State (8‑1) |
2 | Indiana Wins | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (5‑3) vs Ohio St. (6‑1) |
1 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 15% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Maryland (6‑2) vs Iowa (7‑1) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 16% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||