The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Michigan (8‑0) vs Maryland (6‑3) |
1 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Maryland Wins | 10% | 13% | 17% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Michigan St. (8‑1) vs Penn State (8‑2) |
1 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 24% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Penn State Wins | 10% | 13% | 17% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rutgers (5‑5) vs Ohio St. (7‑2) |
1 | Rutgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 26% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 10% | 13% | 17% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Illinois (8‑2) vs Nebraska (10‑0) |
1 | Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | 10% | 13% | 17% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | ||