The Most Important Games for the Wisconsin Badgers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Badgers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Wisconsin Badgers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Wisconsin Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Wisconsin (16‑6) vs Indiana (15‑8) |
80 | Wisconsin Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon (8‑14) vs Purdue (18‑4) |
16 | Oregon Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois (20‑3) vs Michigan St. (19‑4) |
13 | Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (10‑13) vs Iowa (17‑5) |
7 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (10‑12) vs Michigan (20‑1) |
5 | Penn State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington (12‑11) vs UCLA (16‑7) |
4 | Washington Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (8‑12) vs Ohio St. (14‑7) |
3 | Maryland Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (9‑14) vs Nebraska (20‑2) |
3 | Rutgers Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||