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Wed Feb 4 12:15 am

Coastal Basketball - Week 14 of 18

Elon Phoenix Standings

Where are the Elon Phoenix going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Elon standings table presents the probabilities of the Phoenix winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Coastal Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11**
First Round Bye
12 13
UNC Wilmington 8i
UNC Wilmington Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 17 vs Campbell        78-75 
Lost Thu, Jan 22 @  William & Mary  70-77 
Won  Sat, Jan 24 @  Hampton         75-67 
Won  Thu, Jan 29 @  Towson          82-73 
     Thu, Feb 05 vs William & Mary 
     Mon, Feb 09 @  Charleston     
     Thu, Feb 12 vs Elon           
     Sat, Feb 14 vs Hofstra        

1 9 70% 21% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Charleston 8
Charleston Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 22 vs Campbell        87-83 
Won  Sat, Jan 24 vs Elon            80-70 
Won  Thu, Jan 29 @  Hofstra         66-64 
Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  N. Eastern      89-84 
     Thu, Feb 05 vs NC A&T         
     Mon, Feb 09 vs UNC Wilmington 
     Thu, Feb 12 vs Hofstra        
     Sun, Feb 15 @  Campbell       

2 10 27% 44% 17% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Drexel 6
Drexel Recent Games

Lost Mon, Jan 19 @  Towson          58-59 
Won  Sat, Jan 24 vs N. Eastern      83-78 
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs Hampton         58-51 
Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs NC A&T          61-60 
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Campbell       
     Sat, Feb 07 @  Elon           
     Thu, Feb 12 vs Monmouth       
     Mon, Feb 16 @  Stony Brook    

4 10 <1% 4% 13% 13% 14% 14% 13% 11% 9% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Stony Brook 6
Stony Brook Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 17 vs Charleston     112-106
Won  Thu, Jan 22 @  N. Eastern      95-80 
Won  Thu, Jan 29 @  Campbell        81-69 
Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  Elon            72-68 
     Thu, Feb 05 vs Monmouth       
     Sat, Feb 07 vs N. Eastern     
     Thu, Feb 12 @  Towson         
     Mon, Feb 16 vs Drexel         

4 10 1% 15% 22% 17% 14% 11% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Elon 5
Elon Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Towson          59-72 
Lost Sat, Jan 24 @  Charleston      70-80 
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs William & Mary  79-76 
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Stony Brook     68-72 
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Hampton        
     Sat, Feb 07 vs Drexel         
     Thu, Feb 12 @  UNC Wilmington 
     Sat, Feb 14 @  William & Mary 

5 10 <1% 2% 5% 9% 11% 13% 14% 14% 13% 10% 7% 2% <1%
Hofstra 5
Hofstra Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 22 @  NC A&T          78-79 
Lost Sat, Jan 24 @  William & Mary  82-89 
Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs Charleston      64-66 
Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  Monmouth        73-57 
     Thu, Feb 05 vs N. Eastern     
     Sat, Feb 07 vs Towson         
     Thu, Feb 12 @  Charleston     
     Sat, Feb 14 @  UNC Wilmington 

5 10 1% 6% 12% 16% 18% 16% 12% 9% 5% 3% 2% <1% <1%
Monmouth 5
Monmouth Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 22 @  Hampton         63-65 
Won  Sat, Jan 24 @  Campbell        88-73 
Won  Thu, Jan 29 vs NC A&T          83-81 
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Hofstra         57-73 
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Stony Brook    
     Thu, Feb 12 @  Drexel         
     Sun, Feb 15 vs Towson         
     Thu, Feb 19 @  UNC Wilmington 

5 10 <1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 9% 12% 14% 17% 16% 14% 3% <1%
William & Mary 5
William & Mary Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 22 vs UNC Wilmington  77-70 
Won  Sat, Jan 24 vs Hofstra         89-82 
Lost Thu, Jan 29 @  Elon            76-79 
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Campbell        96-104
     Thu, Feb 05 @  UNC Wilmington 
     Sat, Feb 07 @  Hampton        
     Thu, Feb 12 @  N. Eastern     
     Sat, Feb 14 vs Elon           

5 10 1% 7% 17% 19% 16% 12% 10% 7% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1%
Towson 5
Towson Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 22 @  Elon            72-59 
Lost Sat, Jan 24 @  NC A&T          73-80 
Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs UNC Wilmington  73-82 
Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs Hampton         82-50 
     Sat, Feb 07 @  Hofstra        
     Thu, Feb 12 vs Stony Brook    
     Sun, Feb 15 @  Monmouth       
     Sun, Feb 22 @  Drexel         

6 11 <1% 1% 5% 8% 10% 13% 14% 15% 13% 12% 7% 2% <1%
Campbell 4
Campbell Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 22 @  Charleston      83-87 
Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Monmouth        73-88 
Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs Stony Brook     69-81 
Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  William & Mary 104-96 
     Thu, Feb 05 vs Drexel         
     Sat, Feb 07 @  NC A&T         
     Sun, Feb 15 vs Charleston     
     Thu, Feb 19 vs William & Mary 

6 10 <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 7% 9% 13% 17% 19% 16% 8% 2%
Hampton 4
Hampton Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 22 vs Monmouth        65-63 
Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs UNC Wilmington  67-75 
Lost Thu, Jan 29 @  Drexel          51-58 
Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Towson          50-82 
     Thu, Feb 05 vs Elon           
     Sat, Feb 07 vs William & Mary 
     Fri, Feb 13 @  NC A&T         
     Thu, Feb 19 @  Hofstra        

6 10 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 13% 18% 26% 14% 6%
NortheasternN. Eastern 2
Northeastern Recent Games

Lost Mon, Jan 19 @  Monmouth        68-81 
Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Stony Brook     80-95 
Lost Sat, Jan 24 @  Drexel          78-83 
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Charleston      84-89 
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Hofstra        
     Sat, Feb 07 @  Stony Brook    
     Thu, Feb 12 vs William & Mary 
     Thu, Feb 19 vs Drexel         

8 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 11% 41% 42%
N. Carolina A&T 2
N. Carolina A&T Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 22 vs Hofstra         79-78 
Won  Sat, Jan 24 vs Towson          80-73 
Lost Thu, Jan 29 @  Monmouth        81-83 
Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Drexel          60-61 
     Thu, Feb 05 @  Charleston     
     Sat, Feb 07 vs Campbell       
     Fri, Feb 13 vs Hampton        
     Thu, Feb 19 vs Charleston     

8 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 12% 29% 49%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(5) Phoenix 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 98%
(12)NortheasternN. Eastern 2 8 1%
(13)N. Carolina A&T 2 8 1%
(11)Hampton 4 6 <1%
(10)Campbell 4 6 <1%
(7)Monmouth 5 5 <1%
(9)Towson 5 6 <1%
(8)William & Mary 5 5 <1%
(6)Hofstra 5 5 <1%
(3)Drexel 6 4 <1%
(4)Stony Brook 6 4 <1%
(1)UNC Wilmington 8 1 <1%
(2)Charleston 8 2 <1%
Elimination X



Phoenix Conference Schedule
Current Week 14
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
9 NortheasternN. Eastern
(6‑15)
103‑91 Home Mon Dec 29, 7:00 pm
9 Charleston
(15‑8)
81‑85 Home Wed Dec 31, 2:00 pm
10 N. Carolina A&T
(9‑12)
69‑64 Away Thu Jan 8, 7:00 pm
10 Campbell
(10‑13)
83‑82 Home Sat Jan 10, 7:00 pm
11 NortheasternN. Eastern
(6‑15)
78‑85 Away Thu Jan 15, 7:00 pm
11 Hofstra
(14‑9)
89‑85 Away Sat Jan 17, 12:00 pm
12 Towson
(13‑11)
59‑72 Home Thu Jan 22, 7:00 pm
12 Charleston
(15‑8)
70‑80 Away Sat Jan 24, 5:00 pm
13 William & Mary
(14‑8)
79‑76 Home Thu Jan 29, 7:00 pm
13 Stony Brook
(14‑9)
68‑72 Home Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm
14 Hampton
(10‑13)
  Away Thu Feb 5, 7:00 pm
14 Drexel
(12‑11)
  Home Sat Feb 7, 12:00 pm
15 UNC Wilmington
(19‑3)
  Away Thu Feb 12, 7:00 pm
15 William & Mary
(14‑8)
  Away Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm
16 N. Carolina A&T
(9‑12)
  Home Sat Feb 21, 7:00 pm
17 Towson
(13‑11)
  Away Thu Feb 26, 7:00 pm
17 Monmouth
(11‑12)
  Away Sat Feb 28, 3:00 pm
18 UNC Wilmington
(19‑3)
  Home Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm


Phoenix Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Belmont Abbey ‑‑ 99‑51 Home Wed Nov 5
1 N.C. Greensboro
(8‑15)
SouthernSouthern 92‑90 (OT) Away Sat Nov 8
2 Marshall
(14‑8)
SunbeltSunbelt 89‑96 Away Wed Nov 12
2 Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb
(3‑20)
Big SouthBig South 95‑84 Home Sat Nov 15, 8:00 pm
3 Miami
(17‑5)
ACCACC 72‑99 Away Thu Nov 20, 7:00 pm
4 Appalachian St.App. St.
(15‑9)
SunbeltSunbelt 88‑53 Away Mon Nov 24, 6:30 pm
4 Mercer
(15‑8)
SouthernSouthern 84‑91 Home Sat Nov 29, 7:00 pm
5 Furman
(16‑7)
SouthernSouthern 88‑97 Home Wed Dec 3, 7:00 pm
5 Wofford
(15‑8)
SouthernSouthern 73‑52 Away Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm
6 Northern Illinois
(7‑14)
MACMAC 85‑79 Home Sat Dec 13, 1:00 pm
7 Richmond
(13‑10)
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 73‑70 Home Wed Dec 17, 7:00 pm
7 Virginia Tech
(16‑7)
ACCACC 81‑82 (OT) Away Sat Dec 20, 2:00 pm
8 Greensboro College ‑‑ 97‑63 Home Mon Dec 22, 4:00 pm