The Jacksonville St. Gamecocks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Jacksonville St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 0 | 51% | 35% | 9% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 42% | 34% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 1 | 20% | 40% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 69% | 20% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 42% | 34% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 16% | 42% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Kennesaw St. beats Middle Tenn. St. Jacksonville St. beats New Mexico St. Florida Intl. beats Liberty |
Worst Case Scenario Middle Tenn. St. beats Kennesaw St. New Mexico St. beats Jacksonville St. Liberty beats Florida Intl. |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 84% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 7 | 1 | 50% | 49% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 6 | 2 | 12% | 63% | 23% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 14% | 37% | 33% | 13% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 4 | 4 | X | <1% | 2% | 13% | 29% | 36% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 25% | 48% | 17% | 1% |