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Sun Aug 23 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 23 of 27

Braves What If?

The Braves What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Braves play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Braves What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (80‑51)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 77 55 5% 17% 61% 5% 7% 4% 1%
Current Standings 76 55 4% 14% 63% 5% 8% 5% 2%
Lose Next Game 76 56 2% 10% 66% 5% 9% 6% 2%


Current Series - Dodgers (80‑51) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Braves Sweeps 79 55 9% 25% 55% 4% 5% 2% <1%
Current Standings 76 55 4% 14% 63% 5% 8% 5% 2%
Dodgers Sweeps 76 58 <1% 4% 67% 5% 11% 9% 4%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
31 of 31 100% 107 55 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 106 56 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 104 58 95% 5% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 103 59 91% 9% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 102 60 82% 17% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 101 61 69% 28% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^
24 of 31 77% 100 62 53% 40% 7% <1% <1% <1% ^
23 of 31 74% 99 63 36% 48% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1%
22 of 31 71% 98 64 21% 51% 28% <1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 31 68% 97 65 11% 44% 45% <1% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 31 65% 96 66 4% 34% 62% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 31 61% 95 67 1% 22% 75% 1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 31 58% 94 68 <1% 11% 86% 2% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 93 69 <1% 5% 89% 5% 1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 92 70 <1% 2% 84% 8% 5% 1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 91 71 <1% <1% 75% 11% 12% 3% <1%
14 of 31 45% 90 72 <1% <1% 59% 10% 22% 9% <1%
13 of 31 42% 89 73 <1% <1% 44% 6% 27% 20% 2%
12 of 31 39% 88 74 <1% <1% 27% 3% 26% 36% 8%
11 of 31 35% 87 75 <1% <1% 15% 1% 19% 45% 21%
10 of 31 32% 86 76 <1% <1% 7% <1% 10% 42% 41%
9 of 31 29% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% <1% 4% 32% 62%
8 of 31 26% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 17% 81%
7 of 31 23% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
5 of 31 16% 81 81 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 31 0% 76 86 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs