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Thu Jun 11 11:15 pm

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Diamondbacks What If?

The Diamondbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Diamondbacks play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Diamondbacks What If?

Next Game - Reds (32‑35)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 35 34 <1% 1% 3% 7% 8% 9% 71%
Current Standings 34 34 <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 9% 73%
Lose Next Game 34 35 <1% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 75%


Current Series - Reds (32‑35) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Diamondbacks Sweeps 37 34 <1% 2% 4% 8% 10% 11% 66%
Current Standings 34 34 <1% 1% 3% 6% 8% 9% 73%
Reds Sweeps 34 37 <1% 1% 2% 4% 6% 8% 78%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
94 of 94 100% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 94 96% 124 38 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
80 of 94 85% 114 48 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 94 83% 112 50 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 94 82% 111 51 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 94 81% 110 52 89% 9% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 94 80% 109 53 86% 11% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 94 79% 108 54 80% 15% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 94 78% 107 55 75% 18% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 94 77% 106 56 67% 22% 1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 94 76% 105 57 60% 27% 2% 11% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 94 74% 104 58 52% 30% 2% 16% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 94 73% 103 59 44% 33% 4% 20% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 94 72% 102 60 36% 34% 5% 24% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 94 71% 101 61 29% 35% 7% 29% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 94 70% 100 62 22% 35% 9% 34% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 94 69% 99 63 16% 33% 11% 38% 1% <1% <1%
64 of 94 68% 98 64 12% 30% 14% 43% 2% <1% <1%
63 of 94 67% 97 65 7% 26% 16% 47% 4% <1% <1%
62 of 94 66% 96 66 4% 21% 18% 50% 6% <1% <1%
61 of 94 65% 95 67 2% 16% 19% 52% 10% <1% <1%
60 of 94 64% 94 68 1% 12% 19% 50% 16% 1% <1%
59 of 94 63% 93 69 1% 8% 19% 47% 23% 3% <1%
58 of 94 62% 92 70 <1% 5% 17% 42% 29% 6% 1%
57 of 94 61% 91 71 <1% 3% 14% 34% 36% 11% 2%
56 of 94 60% 90 72 <1% 1% 12% 25% 38% 19% 4%
55 of 94 59% 89 73 <1% 1% 9% 18% 38% 26% 9%
54 of 94 57% 88 74 <1% <1% 7% 11% 32% 33% 17%
53 of 94 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 6% 25% 36% 29%
52 of 94 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 3% 17% 34% 43%
51 of 94 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 1% 10% 28% 58%
50 of 94 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 21% 73%
49 of 94 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 13% 84%
48 of 94 51% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 94 43% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 94 32% 64 98 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 94 21% 54 108 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
10 of 94 11% 44 118 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 94 0% 34 128 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs