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Mon Jul 20 8:45 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Guardians What If?

The Guardians What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Guardians play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Guardians What If?

Next Game - Twins (49‑51)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 53 48 9% 28% 9% 7% 13% 12% 22%
Current Standings 52 48 8% 27% 9% 7% 13% 12% 24%
Lose Next Game 52 49 6% 24% 9% 6% 13% 13% 28%


Current Series - Twins (49‑51) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians Sweeps 56 48 12% 33% 10% 8% 13% 10% 14%
Current Standings 52 48 8% 27% 9% 7% 13% 12% 24%
Twins Sweeps 52 52 3% 17% 8% 5% 13% 15% 40%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
62 of 62 100% 114 48 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 62 97% 112 50 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 62 81% 102 60 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 62 77% 100 62 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 62 76% 99 63 91% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 62 74% 98 64 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 62 73% 97 65 81% 19% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 62 71% 96 66 71% 28% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 62 69% 95 67 62% 36% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 62 68% 94 68 51% 46% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 62 66% 93 69 39% 56% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 62 65% 92 70 29% 62% 3% 6% 1% <1% <1%
39 of 62 63% 91 71 20% 64% 5% 9% 2% <1% <1%
38 of 62 61% 90 72 11% 64% 8% 12% 5% <1% <1%
37 of 62 60% 89 73 5% 59% 12% 14% 9% 1% <1%
36 of 62 58% 88 74 2% 49% 15% 15% 16% 3% <1%
35 of 62 56% 87 75 1% 37% 19% 13% 23% 7% 1%
34 of 62 55% 86 76 <1% 25% 20% 11% 29% 14% 2%
33 of 62 53% 85 77 <1% 15% 20% 7% 30% 23% 5%
32 of 62 52% 84 78 <1% 8% 17% 4% 26% 32% 13%
31 of 62 50% 83 79 <1% 4% 13% 2% 19% 35% 28%
30 of 62 48% 82 80 <1% 2% 8% 1% 10% 32% 48%
29 of 62 47% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 5% 22% 68%
28 of 62 45% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 11% 85%
27 of 62 44% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
20 of 62 32% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 62 16% 62 100 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
0 of 62 0% 52 110 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs