The Most Important Games for the Pirates are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (53‑52) vs Cubs (59‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 80% | ||
| Yankees (59‑45) vs Phillies (56‑49) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Marlins (52‑53) vs Padres (52‑53) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Angels (41‑64) vs Giants (44‑60) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Mets (43‑62) vs Dodgers (67‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Rockies (42‑64) vs Brewers (65‑39) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Reds (48‑55) vs Cardinals (53‑51) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Nationals (53‑52) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑50) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 76% | ||
| Braves (61‑43) vs Orioles (51‑54) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pirates Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Pirates (53‑52) vs Cubs (59‑45) |
7 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 80% | ||
| Yankees (59‑45) vs Phillies (56‑49) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Marlins (52‑53) vs Padres (52‑53) |
1 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Angels (41‑64) vs Giants (44‑60) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Mets (43‑62) vs Dodgers (67‑38) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Rockies (42‑64) vs Brewers (65‑39) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Reds (48‑55) vs Cardinals (53‑51) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Nationals (53‑52) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (55‑50) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 76% | ||
| Braves (61‑43) vs Orioles (51‑54) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 76% | ||