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Mon Jul 20 8:45 am

MLB - Week 18 of 27

Yankees What If?

The Yankees What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Yankees play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Yankees What If?

Next Game - Pirates (52‑48)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 56 44 27% 6% 1% 38% 14% 7% 7%
Current Standings 55 44 25% 6% 1% 38% 15% 7% 8%
Lose Next Game 55 45 22% 6% 1% 38% 16% 8% 10%


Current Series - Pirates (52‑48) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Yankees Sweeps 58 44 32% 6% 1% 38% 13% 5% 5%
Current Standings 55 44 25% 6% 1% 38% 15% 7% 8%
Pirates Sweeps 55 47 17% 6% 1% 37% 17% 10% 13%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
63 of 63 100% 118 44 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 63 95% 115 47 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
50 of 63 79% 105 57 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 63 71% 100 62 95% <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 63 70% 99 63 93% <1% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 63 68% 98 64 89% 1% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 63 67% 97 65 83% 1% <1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 63 65% 96 66 75% 3% <1% 22% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 63 63% 95 67 67% 4% <1% 29% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 63 62% 94 68 58% 6% <1% 36% 1% <1% <1%
38 of 63 60% 93 69 47% 7% <1% 44% 1% <1% <1%
37 of 63 59% 92 70 36% 10% <1% 52% 2% <1% <1%
36 of 63 57% 91 71 24% 12% 1% 59% 4% <1% <1%
35 of 63 56% 90 72 16% 12% 1% 63% 9% <1% <1%
34 of 63 54% 89 73 8% 10% 2% 65% 14% 1% <1%
33 of 63 52% 88 74 4% 8% 3% 60% 23% 2% <1%
32 of 63 51% 87 75 1% 6% 3% 52% 33% 5% <1%
31 of 63 49% 86 76 1% 3% 2% 42% 41% 11% 1%
30 of 63 48% 85 77 <1% 1% 1% 27% 44% 22% 4%
29 of 63 46% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 14% 41% 32% 12%
28 of 63 44% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 7% 29% 39% 25%
27 of 63 43% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% 2% 17% 35% 46%
26 of 63 41% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 25% 68%
25 of 63 40% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
24 of 63 38% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
20 of 63 32% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 63 16% 65 97 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 63 0% 55 107 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs