The FC Dallas What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the FC Dallas play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 13 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 4% | 40% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 3% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 12 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 1% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 4% | 52% | 22% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 3% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 17% | 21% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Red Bull beats St. Louis City SC Sporting KC beats Dynamo FC Dallas beats LAFC |
Worst Case Scenario St. Louis City SC beats Red Bull Dynamo beats Sporting KC LAFC beats FC Dallas |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 20 | 6 | 8 | 68 | 46% | 54% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 19 | 7 | 8 | 65 | 22% | 77% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 | 6% | 79% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | 1% | 45% | 42% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56 | <1% | 9% | 34% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 15 | 11 | 8 | 53 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 43% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 14 | 12 | 8 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 55% | 24% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 13 | 13 | 8 | 47 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 44% | 29% | 7% | 1% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 30% | 36% | 24% |