The Most Important Games for the Timbers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Timbers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Timbers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Timbers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |||
| Timbers (6‑8‑3) vs Sounders (7‑6‑3) |
43 | Timbers Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Sounders Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 47% | ||
| Sporting KC (4‑11‑2) vs Dynamo (8‑6‑2) |
7 | Sporting KC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Dynamo Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Austin FC (4‑8‑5) vs Rapids (6‑10‑1) |
5 | Austin FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Rapids Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 40% | ||
| Whitecaps (10‑3‑3) vs LAFC (10‑5‑3) |
2 | Whitecaps Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||
| LAFC Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Minnesota United (6‑6‑5) vs San Diego FC (5‑7‑5) |
1 | Minnesota United Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||
| San Diego FC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 40% | ||
| St. Louis City SC (7‑6‑4) vs Real Salt Lake (8‑6‑2) |
1 | St. Louis City SC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||
| Real Salt Lake Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 39% | ||
| Galaxy (5‑7‑6) vs FC Dallas (7‑5‑5) |
0 | Galaxy Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||
| FC Dallas Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 39% | ||
| EarthquakesEarthquaks (10‑4‑3) vs FC Cincinnati (6‑6‑5) |
0 | EarthquakesEarthquaks Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||
| FC Cincinnati Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 39% | ||