The Union What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Union play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 33% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 33% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 31% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Union beats CF Montréal |
Worst Case Scenario CF Montréal beats Union |
|||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
| 24 of 24 | 100% | 30 | 3 | 1 | 91 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 24 | 83% | 26 | 7 | 1 | 79 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 24 | 79% | 25 | 8 | 1 | 76 | 84% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 24 | 75% | 24 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 67% | 30% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 24 | 71% | 23 | 10 | 1 | 70 | 44% | 43% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 16 of 24 | 67% | 22 | 11 | 1 | 67 | 22% | 45% | 27% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 24 | 63% | 21 | 12 | 1 | 64 | 7% | 30% | 39% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 24 | 58% | 20 | 13 | 1 | 61 | 1% | 11% | 32% | 35% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 24 | 54% | 19 | 14 | 1 | 58 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 31% | 34% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 24 | 50% | 18 | 15 | 1 | 55 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 30% | 33% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 24 | 46% | 17 | 16 | 1 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 34% | 18% | 4% | <1% |
| 10 of 24 | 42% | 16 | 17 | 1 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 29% | 35% | 19% | 5% |
| 9 of 24 | 38% | 15 | 18 | 1 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 36% | 24% |
| 8 of 24 | 33% | 14 | 19 | 1 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 30% | 59% |
| 7 of 24 | 29% | 13 | 20 | 1 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 87% |
| 5 of 24 | 21% | 11 | 22 | 1 | 34 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 24 | 0% | 6 | 27 | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |