The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Utah St. (19‑3) vs Wyoming (13‑10) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| New Mexico (18‑5) vs Boise St. (14‑9) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| Grand Canyon (15‑7) vs UNLV (10‑12) |
0 | Grand Canyon Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| UNLV Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| Nevada (15‑7) vs Fresno St. (11‑11) |
0 | Nevada Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Air Force (3‑19) vs San Diego St. (16‑6) |
0 | Air Force Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 30% | 68% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 84% | ||
| Colorado St. (12‑10) vs San José State (6‑16) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 83% | ||
| San José State Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 90% | ||