The Most Important Games for the Boise St. Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise St. Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Boise St. (14‑9) vs New Mexico (18‑5) |
8 | Boise St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 18% | 41% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 40% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 42% | 24% | 15% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. (11‑11) vs Nevada (15‑7) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 13% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 40% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 42% | 22% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV (10‑12) vs Grand Canyon (15‑7) |
1 | UNLV Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 36% | 22% | 14% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 40% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 43% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑19) vs San Diego St. (16‑6) |
1 | Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 40% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 40% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 41% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (13‑10) vs Utah St. (19‑3) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 37% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 40% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 41% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (12‑10) vs San José State (6‑16) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 39% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 40% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 43% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||