The Most Important Games for the Fresno St. Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno St. Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Fresno St. (6‑4) vs UNLV (4‑5) |
6 | Fresno St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 15% | 13% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | ||
| San José State (5‑5) vs New Mexico (7‑2) |
0 | San José State Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 15% | 13% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Colorado St. (7‑2) vs Utah St. (8‑1) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 15% | 13% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Air Force (3‑8) vs San Diego St. (5‑3) |
0 | Air Force Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 15% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Boise St. (7‑3) vs Nevada (6‑3) |
0 | Boise St. Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 15% | 13% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Wyoming (8‑2) vs Grand Canyon (5‑3) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 15% | 13% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | ||