The Most Important Games for the Fresno St. Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno St. Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Fresno St. (11‑11) vs Nevada (15‑7) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 26% | 23% | 17% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. (14‑9) vs New Mexico (18‑5) |
0 | Boise St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 10% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 19% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV (10‑12) vs Grand Canyon (15‑7) |
0 | UNLV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 11% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 21% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑19) vs San Diego St. (16‑6) |
0 | Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 19% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (12‑10) vs San José State (6‑16) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 23% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. (19‑3) vs Wyoming (13‑10) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 1% | <1% | ||