The Most Important Games for the Nevada Wolf Pack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolf Pack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nevada Wolf Pack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nevada Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Nevada (6‑3) vs Boise St. (7‑3) |
10 | Nevada Wins | 17% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 2% | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | ||
| San José State (5‑5) vs New Mexico (7‑2) |
1 | San José State Wins | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 2% | 1% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Air Force (3‑8) vs San Diego St. (5‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Grand Canyon (5‑3) vs Wyoming (8‑2) |
0 | Grand Canyon Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | ||
| Utah St. (8‑1) vs Colorado St. (7‑2) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 2% | 1% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Fresno St. (6‑4) vs UNLV (4‑5) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 2% | 1% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | ||