The Most Important Games for the Bills are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bills final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bills fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bills Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bills (1‑0) vs Lions (1‑0) |
30 | Bills Wins | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Lions Wins | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 43% | ||
| Packers (0‑1) vs Jets (1‑0) |
6 | Packers Wins | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Jets Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Texans (0‑1) vs Bengals (1‑0) |
5 | Texans Wins | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Chargers (0‑1) vs Raiders (1‑0) |
5 | Chargers Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 41% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (1‑0) vs Dolphins (0‑1) |
4 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Patriots (0‑1) vs Steelers (1‑0) |
3 | Patriots Wins | 13% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 12% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Broncos (0‑1) vs Jaguars (1‑0) |
2 | Broncos Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Saints (0‑1) vs Ravens (1‑0) |
2 | Saints Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 39% | ||
| Colts (0‑1) vs Chiefs (1‑0) |
2 | Colts Wins | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% | ||
| Titans (0‑1) vs Eagles (1‑0) |
1 | Titans Wins | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 40% | ||
| Buccaneers (0‑1) vs Browns (0‑1) |
1 | Buccaneers Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 41% | ||
| Browns Wins | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 40% | ||