The Most Important Games for the Tennessee St. Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tennessee St. Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tennessee St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Tennessee St. (14‑8) vs Eastern Illinois (9‑14) |
52 | Tennessee St. Wins | 13% | 30% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | 5% | 21% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UALR (9‑14) vs Lindenwood (14‑10) |
9 | UALR Wins | 11% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lindenwood Wins | 11% | 26% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Indiana (5‑17) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (18‑5) |
5 | Southern Indiana Wins | 18% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 11% | 28% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Western Illinois (4‑19) vs Tennessee Tech (9‑14) |
4 | Western Illinois Wins | 12% | 28% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | 11% | 27% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Morehead St. (12‑11) vs SE Missouri St. (13‑10) |
3 | Morehead St. Wins | 12% | 29% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 28% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 11% | 27% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||