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Mon Aug 25 11:30 pm

Serie A - Week 2 of 40

Cagliari What If?

The Cagliari What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Cagliari What If?

Next Game - Napoli (1‑0)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 0 1 4 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 10%
Current Standings 0 0 1 1 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 16%
Lose Next Game 0 1 1 1 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 20%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 7% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 10%
Current Standings 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 16%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 20%
Best Case Scenario
   Cagliari beats Napoli
 Worst Case Scenario
   Napoli beats Cagliari
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Serie A Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
37 of 37 100% 37 0 1 112 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 37 95% 35 2 1 106 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 37 81% 30 7 1 91 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 37 68% 25 12 1 76 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 37 65% 24 13 1 73 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 37 62% 23 14 1 70 80% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
22 of 37 59% 22 15 1 67 54% 36% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 37 57% 21 16 1 64 21% 41% 28% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
20 of 37 54% 20 17 1 61 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 37 51% 19 18 1 58 <1% 1% 5% 16% 28% 27% 16% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 37 49% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 9% 22% 29% 22% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 37 46% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 22% 28% 22% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 37 43% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 23% 29% 22% 10% 2% <1%
15 of 37 41% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 18% 28% 28% 18%
14 of 37 38% 14 23 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 71%
10 of 37 27% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 37 14% 5 32 1 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 37 0% 0 37 1 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Serie A Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round