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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Steelers AFC 12 4 0 24% 42% 84% 100% ^
Giants NFC 12 4 0 23% 47% 71% 100% ^
Titans AFC 13 3 0 21% 37% 62% 100% ^
Panthers NFC 12 4 0 14% 32% 74% 100% ^
Ravens AFC 11 5 0 9% 16% 38% 100% ^
Eagles NFC 9 6 1 5% 12% 29% 100% ^
Cardinals NFC 9 7 0 3% 9% 26% 100% ^
Chargers AFC 8 8 0 2% 5% 16% 100% ^
Colts AFC 12 4 0 X X X X 100%
Dolphins AFC 11 5 0 X X X X 100%
Falcons NFC 11 5 0 X X X X 100%
Vikings NFC 10 6 0 X X X X 100%
Patriots AFC 11 5 0 X X X X X
Jets AFC 9 7 0 X X X X X
Buccaneers NFC 9 7 0 X X X X X
Bears NFC 9 7 0 X X X X X
Cowboys NFC 9 7 0 X X X X X
Texans AFC 8 8 0 X X X X X
Broncos AFC 8 8 0 X X X X X
Saints NFC 8 8 0 X X X X X
Redskins NFC 8 8 0 X X X X X
Bills AFC 7 9 0 X X X X X
Forty-Niners NFC 7 9 0 X X X X X
Packers NFC 6 10 0 X X X X X
Jaguars AFC 5 11 0 X X X X X
Raiders AFC 5 11 0 X X X X X
Bengals AFC 4 11 1 X X X X X
Browns AFC 4 12 0 X X X X X
Seahawks NFC 4 12 0 X X X X X
Chiefs AFC 2 14 0 X X X X X
Rams NFC 2 14 0 X X X X X
Lions NFC 0 16 0 X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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