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NFL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NFL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NFL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Super Bowl Winner Super Bowl Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L T
Colts AFC 9 0 0 29% 53% 75% 99% >99%
Saints NFC 9 0 0 27% 50% 77% >99% >99%
Vikings NFC 8 1 0 15% 28% 62% 93% >99%
Bengals AFC 7 2 0 8% 17% 41% 75% 95%
Cardinals NFC 6 3 0 3% 8% 21% 60% 92%
Broncos AFC 6 3 0 3% 7% 19% 46% 73%
Chargers AFC 6 3 0 3% 6% 17% 40% 64%
Steelers AFC 6 3 0 3% 6% 16% 39% 71%
Cowboys NFC 6 3 0 2% 6% 15% 45% 78%
Patriots AFC 6 3 0 2% 6% 16% 45% 74%
Eagles NFC 5 4 0 1% 2% 5% 21% 41%
Giants NFC 5 4 0 1% 2% 6% 21% 41%
Falcons NFC 5 4 0 1% 2% 5% 21% 53%
Packers NFC 5 4 0 1% 2% 5% 20% 49%
Ravens AFC 5 4 0 1% 1% 4% 12% 28%
Jaguars AFC 5 4 0 1% 1% 4% 14% 32%
Texans AFC 5 4 0 <1% 1% 3% 12% 27%
Dolphins AFC 5 5 0 <1% 1% 3% 13% 26%
Forty-Niners NFC 4 5 0 <1% 1% 3% 12% 28%
Bears NFC 4 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 4% 12%
Jets AFC 4 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 4% 8%
Bills AFC 3 6 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Redskins NFC 3 6 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 1%
Seahawks NFC 3 6 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2%
Panthers NFC 4 6 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3%
Titans AFC 3 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chiefs AFC 2 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Rams NFC 1 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Raiders AFC 2 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Browns AFC 1 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lions NFC 1 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Buccaneers NFC 1 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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