The Most Important Games for the Patriots are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Patriots final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Patriots fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Patriots Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Patriots (2‑2) vs Raiders (3‑1) |
33 | Patriots Wins | 5% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Rams (2‑2) vs Bills (3‑1) |
6 | Rams Wins | 4% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Bills Wins | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Eagles (2‑2) vs Jaguars (3‑1) |
4 | Eagles Wins | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 4% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Jets (1‑3) vs Browns (3‑1) |
2 | Jets Wins | 4% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Browns Wins | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Texans (0‑4) vs Titans (0‑4) |
2 | Texans Wins | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Titans Wins | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑4) vs Bengals (2‑2) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 4% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Falcons (2‑2) vs Ravens (3‑1) |
0 | Falcons Wins | 4% | 7% | 12% | 16% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Broncos (2‑2) vs Chargers (0‑4) |
0 | Broncos Wins | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 44% | ||
| Steelers (2‑2) vs Colts (2‑2) |
0 | Steelers Wins | 4% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 45% | ||
| Colts Wins | 4% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 44% | ||