The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| California (5‑3) vs Virginia (7‑1) |
1 | California Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| SMU (5‑3) vs Miami (6‑1) |
0 | SMU Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson (3‑4) vs Duke (4‑3) |
0 | Clemson Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Duke Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (3‑5) vs Louisville (6‑1) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (3‑4) vs Wake Forest (5‑2) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| N.C. State (4‑4) vs Georgia Tech (8‑0) |
0 | N.C. State Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (3‑5) vs Pittsburgh (6‑2) |
0 | Stanford Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (3‑5) vs North Carolina (2‑5) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||