The Most Important Games for the Duke Blue Devils are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Devils final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Duke Blue Devils fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Duke Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| Duke (6‑1) vs SMU (6‑1) |
13 | Duke Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SMU Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida St. (1‑6) vs Miami (7‑0) |
3 | Florida St. Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (2‑5) vs Wake Forest (3‑4) |
1 | Stanford Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (5‑1) vs Pittsburgh (6‑0) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech (4‑3) vs Georgia Tech (5‑3) |
0 | Virginia Tech Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (4‑3) vs Louisville (4‑3) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina (3‑4) vs Virginia (4‑3) |
0 | North Carolina Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||