The Miami Hurricanes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Miami plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 0 | 51% | 38% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 5 | 0 | 43% | 38% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 1 | 17% | 41% | 21% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
Best Case Scenario | 53% | 42% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 43% | 38% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | 17% | 40% | 22% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Miami beats Georgia Tech Virginia beats Pittsburgh |
Worst Case Scenario Georgia Tech beats Miami Pittsburgh beats Virginia |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
3 of 3 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 73% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 3 | 67% | 7 | 1 | 29% | 57% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 3 | 33% | 6 | 2 | 2% | 22% | 44% | 22% | 9% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 3 | 0% | 5 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 24% | 24% | 15% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |