The Pittsburgh Panthers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Pittsburgh plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 1 | 5% | 37% | 29% | 20% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 2% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 2 | X | <1% | 13% | 28% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 9% | 69% | 12% | 9% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 2% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 2% | 33% | 28% | 25% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Pittsburgh beats Georgia Tech Louisville beats SMU Virginia Tech beats Miami |
Worst Case Scenario Georgia Tech beats Pittsburgh SMU beats Louisville Miami beats Virginia Tech |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 10% | 63% | 27% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 1% | 10% | 31% | 45% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 5 | 3 | X | X | 1% | 6% | 27% | 31% | 25% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |