The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (6‑5) vs Bryant (6‑5) |
10 | Maine Wins | 19% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | ||
| New Hampshire (2‑11) vs Vermont (5‑6) |
0 | New Hampshire Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 14% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (6‑4) vs Albany (6‑5) |
0 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 15% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Albany Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Binghamton (5‑6) vs UMBC (7‑5) |
0 | Binghamton Wins | 16% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| UMBC Wins | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||