The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (10‑13) vs Vermont (13‑10) |
10 | Maine Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 26% | 28% | 11% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 36% | 18% | 1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 20% | 41% | 23% | 2% | ||
| Bryant (15‑8) vs Albany (6‑19) |
1 | Bryant Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 37% | 19% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 36% | 18% | 1% | ||
| Albany Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 33% | 18% | 3% | ||
| NJIT (6‑16) vs UMBC (15‑10) |
0 | NJIT Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 28% | 25% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 36% | 18% | 1% | ||
| UMBC Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 37% | 18% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire (11‑11) vs Binghamton (9‑13) |
0 | New Hampshire Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 35% | 18% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 36% | 18% | 1% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 39% | 20% | 1% | ||