The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (15‑9) vs UMBC (11‑13) |
6 | Maine Wins | 26% | 45% | 20% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 42% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UMBC Wins | 15% | 38% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Albany (12‑12) vs Vermont (12‑11) |
1 | Albany Wins | 25% | 45% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 42% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 21% | 41% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Binghamton (12‑12) vs Bryant (14‑10) |
0 | Binghamton Wins | 31% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 42% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 18% | 47% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NJIT (5‑19) vs New Hampshire (5‑19) |
0 | NJIT Wins | 24% | 42% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 42% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 23% | 42% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||