The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Maine (6‑19) vs UMBC (14‑8) |
8 | Maine Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 17% | 25% | 23% | 22% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 25% | 35% | 1% | ||
| UMBC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 18% | 26% | 41% | 2% | ||
| Vermont (15‑10) vs Binghamton (5‑20) |
3 | Vermont Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 36% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 25% | 35% | 1% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 4% | ||
| NJIT (13‑12) vs New Hampshire (8‑14) |
1 | NJIT Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 24% | 35% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 25% | 35% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 21% | 25% | 37% | 1% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (10‑15) vs Bryant (8‑16) |
0 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 22% | 23% | 34% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 20% | 25% | 35% | 1% | ||
| Bryant Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 27% | 38% | 1% | ||