PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 3 7:45 pm

American Athletic Basketball - Week 18 of 18

Texas-San Antonio What If?

The Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Texas-San Antonio plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas-San Antonio What If?

Next Game - Temple (11‑18)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Win Next Game 6 12 X X X X X X X X 6% 42% 45% 8% ^ ^
Current Standings 5 12 X X X X X X X X 3% 21% 23% 6% 26% 21%
Lose Next Game 5 13 X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 52% 44%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Best Case Scenario X X X X X X X X 4% 22% 24% 4% 26% 21%
Current Standings X X X X X X X X 3% 21% 23% 6% 26% 21%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X X X X X 19% 21% 13% 23% 24%
Best Case Scenario
   Charlotte beats Rice
Worst Case Scenario
   Rice beats Charlotte
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
1 of 1 100% 6 12 X X X X X X X X 6% 42% 45% 7% ^ ^
0 of 1 0% 5 13 X X X X X X X X X X X 4% 52% 45%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament