The Most Important Games for the Black Knights Army are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Army final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Black Knights Army fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Black Knights Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Rice (5‑5) vs North Texas (9‑1) |
0 | Rice Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 25% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 9% | 4% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple (5‑5) vs Tulane (8‑2) |
0 | Temple Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 27% | 20% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB (3‑7) vs South Florida (7‑3) |
0 | UAB Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 28% | 21% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA (5‑5) vs East Carolina (7‑3) |
0 | UTSA Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 21% | 26% | 14% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 28% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Black Knights (5‑4) vs Tulsa (3‑7) |
0 | Black Knights Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 30% | 20% | 27% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 24% | 17% | 24% | 19% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||