The Most Important Games for the Black Knights Army are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Army final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Black Knights Army fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Black Knights Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Memphis (8‑1) vs Tulane (6‑2) |
0 | Memphis Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Black Knights (4‑4) vs Temple (5‑4) |
0 | Black Knights Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 27% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Temple Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rice (4‑5) vs UAB (3‑5) |
0 | Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UAB Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| East Carolina (5‑3) vs Charlotte (1‑7) |
0 | East Carolina Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic (3‑5) vs Tulsa (2‑6) |
0 | Florida Atlantic Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 19% | 20% | 18% | 11% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||