The Most Important Games for the Black Knights Army are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Army final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Black Knights Army fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Black Knights Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Black Knights (3‑2) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑1) |
13 | Black Knights Wins | 6% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Navy (2‑3) vs UTSA (5‑1) |
1 | Navy Wins | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UTSA Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| UAB (3‑3) vs East Carolina (3‑2) |
1 | UAB Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Tulane (2‑3) vs Memphis (5‑1) |
0 | Tulane Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Rice (1‑5) vs Tulsa (3‑3) |
0 | Rice Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Temple (2‑4) vs Charlotte (0‑6) |
0 | Temple Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||