The Most Important Games for the Black Knights Army are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Army final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Black Knights Army fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Black Knights Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Charlotte (1‑8) vs UTSA (4‑5) |
0 | Charlotte Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 20% | 32% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 18% | 23% | 23% | 19% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy (7‑2) vs South Florida (7‑2) |
0 | Navy Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 27% | 21% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB (3‑6) vs North Texas (8‑1) |
0 | UAB Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 26% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 18% | 26% | 22% | 18% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina (6‑3) vs Memphis (8‑2) |
0 | East Carolina Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 12% | 30% | 24% | 19% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane (7‑2) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑5) |
0 | Tulane Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 20% | 27% | 22% | 16% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 19% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||