Are the Black Knights Army going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Black Knights standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Navy | 5i Navy Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Air Force 34-31 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Temple 32-31 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Florida Atlantic 42-32 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ North Texas 17-31 Sat, Nov 08 @ Notre Dame Sat, Nov 15 vs South Florida Thu, Nov 27 @ Memphis |
1 | 6 | 12% | 14% | 16% | 23% | 15% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Tulane | 4 Tulane Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 09 vs East Carolina 26-19 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Black Knights 24-17 Lost Thu, Oct 30 @ UTSA 26-48 Won Fri, Nov 07 @ Memphis 38-32 Sat, Nov 15 vs Florida Atlantic Sat, Nov 22 @ Temple Sat, Nov 29 vs Charlotte |
1 | 5 | 36% | 28% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| North Texas | 4 North Texas Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 10 vs South Florida 36-63 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs UTSA 55-17 Won Fri, Oct 24 @ Charlotte 54-20 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Navy 31-17 Sat, Nov 15 @ UAB Sat, Nov 22 @ Rice Sat, Nov 29 vs Temple |
1 | 5 | 24% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| South Florida | 4 South Florida Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 10 @ North Texas 63-36 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Florida Atlantic 48-13 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Memphis 31-34 Won Thu, Nov 06 vs UTSA 55-23 Sat, Nov 15 @ Navy Sat, Nov 22 @ UAB Sat, Nov 29 vs Rice |
1 | 5 | 20% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| East Carolina | 4 East Carolina Recent Games Lost Thu, Oct 09 @ Tulane 19-26 Won Thu, Oct 16 vs Tulsa 41-27 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Temple 45-14 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Charlotte 48-22 Sat, Nov 15 vs Memphis Sat, Nov 22 @ UTSA Sat, Nov 29 @ Florida Atlantic |
1 | 5 | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Memphis | 4 Memphis Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ UAB 24-31 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs South Florida 34-31 Won Fri, Oct 31 @ Rice 38-14 Lost Fri, Nov 07 vs Tulane 32-38 Sat, Nov 15 @ East Carolina Thu, Nov 27 vs Navy |
2 | 6 | 1% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Black Knights | 3 Black Knights Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Charlotte 24-7 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Tulane 17-24 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Air Force 20-17 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Temple 14-13 Sat, Nov 22 vs Tulsa Fri, Nov 28 @ UTSA |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Florida Atlantic | 3 Florida Atlantic Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 vs UAB 53-33 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ South Florida 13-48 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Navy 32-42 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs Tulsa 40-21 Sat, Nov 15 @ Tulane Sat, Nov 22 vs UConn Sat, Nov 29 vs East Carolina |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 24% | 26% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Temple | 3 Temple Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Charlotte 49-14 Won Sat, Oct 25 @ Tulsa 38-37 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs East Carolina 14-45 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Black Knights 13-14 Sat, Nov 22 vs Tulane Sat, Nov 29 @ North Texas |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 29% | 27% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| UTSA | 2 UTSA Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Rice 61-13 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ North Texas 17-55 Won Thu, Oct 30 vs Tulane 48-26 Lost Thu, Nov 06 @ South Florida 23-55 Sat, Nov 15 @ Charlotte Sat, Nov 22 vs East Carolina Fri, Nov 28 vs Black Knights |
3 | 5 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 24% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Rice | 2 Rice Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ UTSA 13-61 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs UConn 37-34 Lost Fri, Oct 31 vs Memphis 14-38 Won Sat, Nov 08 vs UAB 24-17 Sat, Nov 22 vs North Texas Sat, Nov 29 @ South Florida |
4 | 6 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 63% | 18% | <1% | <1% |
| UAB | 1 UAB Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Florida Atlantic 33-53 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Memphis 31-24 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ UConn 19-38 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Rice 17-24 Sat, Nov 15 vs North Texas Sat, Nov 22 vs South Florida Sat, Nov 29 @ Tulsa |
4 | 5 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 48% | 28% | 5% |
| Tulsa | 0 Tulsa Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Memphis 7-45 Lost Thu, Oct 16 @ East Carolina 27-41 Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs Temple 37-38 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ Florida Atlantic 21-40 Sat, Nov 15 vs Oregon St. Sat, Nov 22 @ Black Knights Sat, Nov 29 vs UAB |
6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 26% | 38% | 32% |
| Charlotte | 0 Charlotte Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Black Knights 7-24 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Temple 14-49 Lost Fri, Oct 24 vs North Texas 20-54 Lost Sat, Nov 08 @ East Carolina 22-48 Sat, Nov 15 vs UTSA Sat, Nov 22 @ Georgia Sat, Nov 29 @ Tulane |
6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 34% | 63% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Navy | 5 | 1 | <1% |
| (5)East Carolina | 4 | 1 | <1% |
| (6)Memphis | 4 | 2 | <1% |
| (2)Tulane | 4 | 1 | X |
| (3)North Texas | 4 | 1 | X |
| (4)South Florida | 4 | 1 | X |
| (8)Florida Atlantic | 3 | 3 | X |
| (9)Temple | 3 | 3 | X |
| (10)UTSA | 2 | 3 | X |
| Elimination | >99% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | North Texas (8‑1) |
38‑45 (OT) | Home | Sat Sep 20, 12:00 pm |
| 5 | East Carolina (6‑3) |
6‑28 | Away | Thu Sep 25, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | UAB (3‑6) |
31‑13 | Away | Sat Oct 4, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Charlotte (1‑8) |
24‑7 | Home | Sat Oct 11, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | Tulane (7‑2) |
17‑24 | Away | Sat Oct 18, 12:00 pm |
| 11 | Temple (5‑5) |
14‑13 | Home | Sat Nov 8, 12:00 pm |
| 13 | Tulsa (2‑7) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, 12:00 pm | |
| 14 | UTSA (4‑5) |
Away | Fri Nov 28, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarleton State | ‑‑ | 27‑30 (OT) | Home | Fri Aug 29, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Kansas St. (4‑5) |
Big 12Big 12 | 24‑21 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Air Force (2‑6) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 20‑17 | Away | Sat Nov 1, 12:00 pm |