The Most Important Games for the East Carolina Pirates are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. East Carolina Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
East Carolina Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| East Carolina (3‑3) vs Memphis (5‑2) |
12 | East Carolina Wins | 5% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Memphis Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 3% | ||
| Navy (2‑4) vs North Texas (4‑2) |
1 | Navy Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 3% | ||
| North Texas Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Tulane (3‑3) vs UTSA (6‑1) |
1 | Tulane Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 3% | ||
| UTSA Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Tulsa (4‑3) vs Black Knights (4‑2) |
1 | Tulsa Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Black Knights Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Rice (1‑6) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑2) |
1 | Rice Wins | 2% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 2% | ||