The Most Important Games for the East Carolina Pirates are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. East Carolina Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
East Carolina Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UAB (1‑4) vs Black Knights (5‑0) |
1 | UAB Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Black Knights Wins | 2% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 2% | ||
| South Florida (2‑3) vs Memphis (4‑1) |
1 | South Florida Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Memphis Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Florida Atlantic (2‑3) vs North Texas (4‑1) |
0 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| North Texas Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Rice (1‑4) vs UTSA (2‑3) |
0 | Rice Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| UTSA Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | ||