Are the East Carolina Pirates going to play in the Conference Championship game? The East Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Navy | 4i Navy Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 13 @ Tulsa 42-23 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs Rice 21-13 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Air Force 34-31 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Temple 32-31 Sat, Oct 25 vs Florida Atlantic Sat, Nov 01 @ North Texas Sat, Nov 08 @ Notre Dame Sat, Nov 15 vs South Florida |
0 | 4 | 23% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Tulane | 3 Tulane Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Ole Miss 10-45 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Tulsa 31-14 Won Thu, Oct 09 vs East Carolina 26-19 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Black Knights 24-17 Thu, Oct 30 @ UTSA Fri, Nov 07 @ Memphis Sat, Nov 15 vs Florida Atlantic Sat, Nov 22 @ Temple |
0 | 3 | 34% | 27% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| South Florida | 3 South Florida Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs South Carolina State 63-14 Won Fri, Oct 03 vs Charlotte 54-26 Won Fri, Oct 10 @ North Texas 63-36 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Florida Atlantic 48-13 Sat, Oct 25 @ Memphis Thu, Nov 06 vs UTSA Sat, Nov 15 @ Navy Sat, Nov 22 @ UAB |
0 | 3 | 25% | 22% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Memphis | 2 Memphis Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 vs Arkansas 32-31 Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Florida Atlantic 55-26 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Tulsa 45-7 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ UAB 24-31 Sat, Oct 25 vs South Florida Fri, Oct 31 @ Rice Fri, Nov 07 vs Tulane Sat, Nov 15 @ East Carolina |
1 | 3 | 8% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| North Texas | 2 North Texas Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Black Knights 45-38 Won Sat, Sep 27 vs South Alabama 36-22 Lost Fri, Oct 10 vs South Florida 36-63 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs UTSA 55-17 Fri, Oct 24 @ Charlotte Sat, Nov 01 vs Navy Sat, Nov 15 @ UAB Sat, Nov 22 @ Rice |
1 | 3 | 6% | 13% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| East Carolina | 2 East Carolina Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 vs BYU 13-34 Won Thu, Sep 25 vs Black Knights 28-6 Lost Thu, Oct 09 @ Tulane 19-26 Won Thu, Oct 16 vs Tulsa 41-27 Sat, Nov 01 @ Temple Sat, Nov 08 vs Charlotte Sat, Nov 15 vs Memphis Sat, Nov 22 @ UTSA |
1 | 3 | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Temple | 2 Temple Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Georgia Tech 24-45 Won Sat, Oct 04 vs UTSA 27-21 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs Navy 31-32 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Charlotte 49-14 Sat, Oct 25 @ Tulsa Sat, Nov 01 vs East Carolina Sat, Nov 08 @ Black Knights Sat, Nov 22 vs Tulane |
1 | 3 | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| Florida Atlantic | 2 Florida Atlantic Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Memphis 26-55 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ Rice 27-21 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs UAB 53-33 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ South Florida 13-48 Sat, Oct 25 @ Navy Sat, Nov 08 vs Tulsa Sat, Nov 15 @ Tulane Sat, Nov 22 vs UConn |
2 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Black Knights | 2 Black Knights Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 25 @ East Carolina 6-28 Won Sat, Oct 04 @ UAB 31-13 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Charlotte 24-7 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Tulane 17-24 Sat, Nov 01 @ Air Force Sat, Nov 08 vs Temple Sat, Nov 22 vs Tulsa Fri, Nov 28 @ UTSA |
3 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| UTSA | 1 UTSA Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 20 @ Colorado St. 17-16 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Temple 21-27 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Rice 61-13 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ North Texas 17-55 Thu, Oct 30 vs Tulane Thu, Nov 06 @ South Florida Sat, Nov 15 @ Charlotte Sat, Nov 22 vs East Carolina |
2 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
| UAB | 1 UAB Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 20 @ Tennessee 24-56 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs Black Knights 13-31 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Florida Atlantic 33-53 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Memphis 31-24 Sat, Nov 01 @ UConn Sat, Nov 08 @ Rice Sat, Nov 15 vs North Texas Sat, Nov 22 vs South Florida |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 5% |
| Rice | 1 Rice Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 18 @ Charlotte 28-17 Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Navy 13-21 Lost Sat, Oct 04 vs Florida Atlantic 21-27 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ UTSA 13-61 Sat, Oct 25 vs UConn Fri, Oct 31 vs Memphis Sat, Nov 08 vs UAB Sat, Nov 22 vs North Texas |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 26% | 22% | 3% |
| Tulsa | 0 Tulsa Recent Games Won Fri, Sep 19 @ Oklahoma St. 19-12 Lost Sat, Sep 27 vs Tulane 14-31 Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Memphis 7-45 Lost Thu, Oct 16 @ East Carolina 27-41 Sat, Oct 25 vs Temple Sat, Nov 08 @ Florida Atlantic Sat, Nov 15 vs Oregon St. Sat, Nov 22 @ Black Knights |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Charlotte | 0 Charlotte Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 18 vs Rice 17-28 Lost Fri, Oct 03 @ South Florida 26-54 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Black Knights 7-24 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Temple 14-49 Fri, Oct 24 vs North Texas Sat, Nov 08 @ East Carolina Sat, Nov 15 vs UTSA Sat, Nov 22 @ Georgia |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 22% | 67% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)Tulane | 3 | 0 | 3% |
| (3)South Florida | 3 | 0 | 2% |
| (1)Navy | 4 | 0 | 2% |
| (5)North Texas | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (4)Memphis | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (7)Temple | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (10)UTSA | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (8)Florida Atlantic | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (12)Rice | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (9)Black Knights | 2 | 3 | <1% |
| (11)UAB | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (13)Tulsa | 0 | 4 | X |
| (14)Charlotte | 0 | 4 | X |
| Elimination | 92% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Black Knights (3‑4) |
28‑6 | Home | Thu Sep 25, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Tulane (6‑1) |
19‑26 | Away | Thu Oct 9, 7:30 pm |
| 8 | Tulsa (2‑5) |
41‑27 | Home | Thu Oct 16, 7:30 pm |
| 10 | Temple (4‑3) |
Away | Sat Nov 1, TBD | |
| 11 | Charlotte (1‑6) |
Home | Sat Nov 8, TBD | |
| 12 | Memphis (6‑1) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, TBD | |
| 13 | UTSA (3‑4) |
Away | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | Florida Atlantic (3‑4) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N.C. State (4‑3) |
ACCACC | 17‑24 | Away | Thu Aug 28, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Campbell | ‑‑ | 56‑3 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 6:00 pm |
| 3 | Coastal Carolina (4‑3) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 38‑0 | Away | Sat Sep 13, 7:30 pm |
| 4 | BYU (6‑0) |
Big 12Big 12 | 13‑34 | Home | Sat Sep 20, 7:30 pm |