The Florida Atlantic Owls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Florida Atlantic plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Win Next Game | 1 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 18% | 28% | 24% |
Current Standings | 0 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 50% |
Lose Next Game | 0 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 10% | 21% | 67% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Current Standings | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 22% | 50% |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
3 of 3 | 100% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 13% | 25% | 31% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 3 | 67% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 23% | 39% | 27% | 8% |
1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 36% | 60% |
0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |