The Most Important Games for the Rice Owls are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Owls final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rice Owls fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rice Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Charlotte (1‑8) vs UTSA (4‑5) |
0 | Charlotte Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 12% | 59% | 17% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 64% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 66% | 18% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Navy (7‑2) vs South Florida (7‑2) |
0 | Navy Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 64% | 18% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 64% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 63% | 19% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UAB (3‑6) vs North Texas (8‑1) |
0 | UAB Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 40% | 43% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 64% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Texas Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 69% | 11% | <1% | ^ | ||
| East Carolina (6‑3) vs Memphis (8‑2) |
0 | East Carolina Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 64% | 18% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 64% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 64% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane (7‑2) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑5) |
0 | Tulane Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 63% | 18% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 64% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 65% | 18% | <1% | <1% | ||