The Rice Owls What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Rice plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 3 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% |
Current Standings | 1 | 3 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 11% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 12% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 11% |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
4 of 4 | 100% | 5 | 3 | X | <1% | 6% | 23% | 34% | 27% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 4 | 75% | 4 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 34% | 29% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
2 of 4 | 50% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 17% | 32% | 30% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 15% | 32% | 33% | 15% | 3% |
0 of 4 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 15% | 41% | 43% |