The Most Important Games for the Tulane Green Wave are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Green Wave final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tulane Green Wave fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tulane Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Tulane (6‑2) vs Memphis (8‑1) |
55 | Tulane Wins | 35% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | <1% | 6% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA (4‑4) vs South Florida (6‑2) |
3 | UTSA Wins | 18% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 16% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charlotte (1‑7) vs East Carolina (5‑3) |
2 | Charlotte Wins | 16% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| East Carolina Wins | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Black Knights (4‑4) vs Temple (5‑4) |
1 | Black Knights Wins | 17% | 16% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Temple Wins | 16% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic (3‑5) vs Tulsa (2‑6) |
1 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 16% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 16% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rice (4‑5) vs UAB (3‑5) |
0 | Rice Wins | 16% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UAB Wins | 16% | 15% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||