The Most Important Games for the Tulane Green Wave are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Green Wave final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tulane Green Wave fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tulane Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Tulane (9‑2) vs Charlotte (1‑10) |
59 | Tulane Wins | 47% | 39% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 5% | 22% | 38% | 30% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Memphis (8‑3) vs Navy (8‑2) |
29 | Memphis Wins | 56% | 42% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy Wins | 34% | 35% | 29% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Temple (5‑6) vs North Texas (10‑1) |
18 | Temple Wins | 71% | 26% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | 39% | 40% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida (8‑3) vs Rice (5‑6) |
1 | South Florida Wins | 43% | 39% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rice Wins | 43% | 38% | 18% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina (7‑4) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑7) |
1 | East Carolina Wins | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 44% | 38% | 17% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulsa (4‑7) vs UAB (3‑8) |
0 | Tulsa Wins | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA (6‑5) vs Black Knights (5‑5) |
0 | UTSA Wins | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Black Knights Wins | 44% | 38% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||