PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Dec 1 4:00 pm

Atlantic 10 Basketball - Week 5 of 18

UMass Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UMass Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UMass Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15
UMass
(3‑5)

vs
St. Joseph's
(5‑2)
12 UMass Wins <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 11% 13% 14% 15% 11%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18%
St. Joseph's Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 12% 15% 18% 19%
Duquesne
(1‑6)

vs
Rhode Island
(7‑0)
1 Duquesne Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 11% 14% 16% 21%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18%
Rhode Island Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 15% 17% 17%
La Salle
(6‑2)

vs
Dayton
(6‑2)
1 La Salle Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 17%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18%
Dayton Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 15% 18% 18%
St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt
(7‑1)

vs
VCU
(6‑2)
0 St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 12% 14% 18% 17%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18%
VCU Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 11% 14% 18% 17%
Fordham
(4‑5)

vs
Saint Louis
(4‑2)
0 Fordham Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18%
Saint Louis Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 7% 9% 11% 15% 18% 17%
George Mason
(5‑3)

vs
Davidson
(5‑2)
0 George Mason Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 17%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18%
Davidson Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 17% 18%
Geo. Washington
(7‑1)

vs
Richmond
(4‑4)
0 Geo. Washington Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 11% 15% 18% 17%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 11% 14% 18% 18%
Richmond Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 11% 14% 18% 19%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament